How will the Nice attack impact the political sentiment in France?

As a massive political sliding to the Right.

The attack occurred through a complete failure of security services. Only five days before the attack, Mr.Cazeneuve, the minister in charge of home security, had abruptly repelled the conclusions of a parliamentary inquiry commitee report investigating about “The Bataclan” and Paris November 2015 attacks, arrogantly naming the report a “plum-pudding”…

At the same time, the French government was, and still is, doing all its efforts to fight an alleged if not invented french “islamophobia”, showing in the meantime incredible weakness on radical islam issues and immigration constant flooding (cf. the controversial burkini & Calais “jungle” dismantling).

The #NiceAttack then erupted at the worst moment for Mr. Hollande, who had said in his traditional National Day interview, a few hours before the attack, that the situation in the aftermath of the November events was improving, so that the state of emergency would soon be lifted. Unfortunately, these comforting declarations were made at noon the same day when 86 people died in the night attack on the “Promenade des Anglais”, at the end of the National Day fireworks.

Since then, in spite of such obvious security recurrent breaches leaving 250+ dead in 18 months on the national territory, nothing happened : The failed political executives are still in charge. No one resigned, no one has been fired. The police loudly demonstrates their anger against the hierarchy. Topping around 4%, the President ratings prevent him taking any action to stop the deadly spiral of untrust and incapacity.

As a result, #NiceAttack was the trigger for a massive political switching : The French people abruptly divorced wih the Left so-called “elites”, now seen at best like an ailing ideology leading the country to epic lows, and at worst like a regressive force, only protecting extraneous minorities while exposing the life of their citizens, doing nothing after three successive savage killings in France.

Since #NiceAttack, the French Republic is obviously at risk. A government top adviser even talked about serious risks of a civil war. From this awful 2016 National Day, the French people began to feel the rule of law as hijacked from its main republican purpose, exclusively enforced to take care of the so-called “leftist elites”, one one side, and of the muslim immigrants on the other : From this very day, when the third successive blind murder of innocent citizens occurred, with no political reaction but miserable lip service, the indigenous population of France feels left and betrayed, facing its own fate, deprived of any of the usual State protections and defenses against political islam terrorist actions.

Add on top of this a mainstream media permanent bias, mainly and obviously leftist if not completely enslaved to an impotent political power, and you’ll get the point : France is on the edge of chaos, extremely vulnerable to any new terrorist action, a risk the Prime Minister Manuel Valls has said the French must live with. An overwhelming wave of anger is growing, while the President is left with relentless commemorations, with political lead of a dead man walking…

As an old and mature western democracy, France always denied the Far-Right any ruling role. But now, in such a political frame, with a Socialist power only holding to a desperate reality denial, the French people abrupty understood, on this tragic evening, that Mr. Hollande’s interpretation of socialism, awfully served by a tremendous media biased frenzy, could eventualy reveal far more dangerous for their core values and safety at home than the decried Marine Le Pen’s Front National.

This leaves the country with quite a simple prospect for the 2017 election. At the moment of this answer, Mr. Hollande didn’t even dare say yet if he would run for a second term : The Left is broke. In less than six months, in a crepuscular mood, the French people will be left with a crucial choice between the usual Republican Right wing, and the Far Right. With the Brexit and the US election in sight, the French will decide if they’ll handle the keys to the previous Right team (the same who let them fall in Mr. Hollande hands last time), or if they’ll jump straight away in the unknown, and bring the Far Right to power for the first time.

God bless France, in any case.

[ Published 2016-11-13 on Quora as an answer to the question above : “How will the Nice attack impact political sentiment in France?”]

 
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